Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chancePaide or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11% · fair 9.21
Paide vs Vaprus preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Paide take on Vaprus on Wednesday 16 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Paide linnastaadion. Paide are 2nd with 64 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Vaprus sit 7th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Paide's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Laagri 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Vaprus's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Paide 3–1 Vaprus. Across their last 3 meetings Paide have won 2, Vaprus 1, with 0 draws and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Paide and 0.9 for Vaprus. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paide 66%, draw 19%, Vaprus 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Paide 2–0 Vaprus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paide66%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @4.20
Vaprus14%fair 7.01 · @5.50
3.09Expected goals
2.18Paide xG
0.91Vaprus xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Paide 2.2 – 0.9 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Paide vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Paide have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Vaprus 14%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Vaprus?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Paide 2–0 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Vaprus?
Paide vs Vaprus (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
