Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✓64% · @1.53
Double chancePaide or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.78
Paide vs Kuressaare preview and prediction
The match
Paide host Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Paide linnastaadion. Paide are 2nd with 64 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Kuressaare sit 9th on 37 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Paide's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Zira 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kuressaare's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Welco X 5–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Paide arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Paide 1–1 Kuressaare. Across their last 2 meetings Paide have won 1, Kuressaare 0, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Paide and 0.9 for Kuressaare. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paide 64%, draw 24%, Kuressaare 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Paide 2–0 Kuressaare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paide64%fair 1.56 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @4.10
Kuressaare12%fair 8.25 · @4.80
2.97Expected goals
2.11Paide xG
0.86Kuressaare xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Paide 2.1 – 0.9 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Paide vs Kuressaare?
On our numbers Paide have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kuressaare 12%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Kuressaare?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Kuressaare?
Our predicted score is Paide 2–0 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Kuressaare?
Paide vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.