Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1
Value bet: Nõmme United to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNõmme United to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Nõmme United vs Trans Narva preview and prediction
The match
Trans Narva travel to face Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga on Friday 31 July (17:00 WAT). Nõmme United are 8th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Trans Narva sit 10th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme United's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Raplamaa 12–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game.
Trans Narva's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Flora II 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Nõmme United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Trans Narva 1–2 Nõmme United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.1 for Nõmme United and 1.4 for Trans Narva. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United 56%, draw 20%, Trans Narva 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Nõmme United to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Nõmme United 2–1 Trans Narva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.75
Trans Narva25%fair 4.05 · @3.20
3.44Expected goals
2.06Nõmme United xG
1.38Trans Narva xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
2–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 2.1 – 1.4 Trans Narva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United vs Trans Narva?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Trans Narva?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trans Narva 25%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Trans Narva?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Trans Narva?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 2–1 Trans Narva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Trans Narva?
Nõmme United vs Trans Narva (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
