Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.58 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.58Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✗64% · @1.58
Double chancePaide or draw ✗88% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.01
Laagri vs Paide preview and prediction
The match
Paide travel to Laagri kunstmurustaadion in the Meistriliiga on Sunday 19 July (17:00 WAT) to face Laagri. Laagri are 6th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Laagri's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Trans Narva 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Paide's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Hegelmann Litauen 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Paide arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 June 2026, finished Paide 1–0 Laagri. Across their last 2 meetings Laagri have won 0, Paide 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Laagri and 2.1 for Paide. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Laagri 12%, draw 24%, Paide 64%.
Safer route: Paide or draw (88%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.52.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.58. Predicted score: Laagri 0–2 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Laagri12%fair 8.36 · @4.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.94
Paide64%fair 1.57 · @1.58
3.03Expected goals
0.89Laagri xG
2.15Paide xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Laagri 0.9 – 2.1 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.
Who will win Laagri vs Paide?
On our numbers Laagri have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paide 64%.
How many goals will there be in Laagri vs Paide?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Laagri vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Laagri 0–2 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Laagri vs Paide?
Laagri vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Laagri kunstmurustaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
