Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Nõmme United to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNõmme United to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceNõmme United or draw ✓85% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Nõmme United vs Kuressaare preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Nõmme United take on Kuressaare on Saturday 11 July, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Nõmme United are 8th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Kuressaare sit 9th on 37 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nõmme United's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Kalju Nomme 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Kuressaare's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Flora Tallinn 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 May 2026, finished Kuressaare 2–1 Nõmme United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Nõmme United and 1.1 for Kuressaare. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United 61%, draw 24%, Kuressaare 15%.
Safer route: Nõmme United or draw (85%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Nõmme United to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nõmme United or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nõmme United 2–1 Kuressaare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Kuressaare15%fair 6.56 · @3.30
3.44Expected goals
2.30Nõmme United xG
1.14Kuressaare xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 2.3 – 1.1 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United vs Kuressaare?
Our pick is Nõmme United or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Kuressaare?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kuressaare 15%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Kuressaare?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Kuressaare?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 2–1 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Kuressaare?
Nõmme United vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
