Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Laagri to win @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLaagri to win ✓53% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Laagri vs Trans Narva preview and prediction
The match
Trans Narva travel to Laagri kunstmurustaadion in the Meistriliiga on Friday 10 July (17:00 WAT) to face Laagri. Laagri are 6th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Trans Narva sit 10th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Laagri's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Tammeka 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Trans Narva's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Laagri 3–0 Trans Narva.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Laagri and 1.1 for Trans Narva. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Laagri 53%, draw 22%, Trans Narva 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Laagri to win at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Laagri 1–1 Trans Narva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Laagri53%fair 1.90 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.40
Trans Narva25%fair 3.93 · @2.88
3.02Expected goals
1.93Laagri xG
1.09Trans Narva xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Laagri 1.9 – 1.1 Trans Narva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Laagri vs Trans Narva?
On our numbers Laagri have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Trans Narva 25%.
How many goals will there be in Laagri vs Trans Narva?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Laagri vs Trans Narva?
Our predicted score is Laagri 1–1 Trans Narva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Laagri vs Trans Narva?
Laagri vs Trans Narva (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Laagri kunstmurustaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
