Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Paide to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKalju Nomme to win ✗40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Kalju Nomme vs Paide preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Kalju Nomme take on Paide on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Hiiu Stadium. Kalju Nomme are 4th with 61 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kalju Nomme's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with FC Levadia Tallinn 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Paide's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Flora Tallinn 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Kalju Nomme 1–1 Paide. Across their last 3 meetings Kalju Nomme have won 0, Paide 2, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Kalju Nomme and 1.3 for Paide. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kalju Nomme 40%, draw 24%, Paide 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Paide to win at 3.30 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Kalju Nomme 1–1 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kalju Nomme40%fair 2.50 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Paide36%fair 2.79 · @3.30
2.65Expected goals
1.37Kalju Nomme xG
1.28Paide xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kalju Nomme 1.4 – 1.3 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Kalju Nomme vs Paide?
On our numbers Kalju Nomme have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paide 36%.
How many goals will there be in Kalju Nomme vs Paide?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalju Nomme vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Kalju Nomme 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kalju Nomme vs Paide?
Kalju Nomme vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
