Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Levadia Tallinn to win ✓72% · @1.20
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.55
Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn preview and prediction
The match
Trans Narva host FC Levadia Tallinn in the Meistriliiga on Saturday 4 July, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion. Trans Narva are 10th with 23 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while FC Levadia Tallinn sit 1st on 91 points (top of the table). A gap of 68 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Trans Narva's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Tammeka 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Levadia Tallinn's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Flora Tallinn 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
FC Levadia Tallinn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.8 for Trans Narva and 2.4 for FC Levadia Tallinn. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trans Narva 10%, draw 17%, FC Levadia Tallinn 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Levadia Tallinn to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Trans Narva 0–2 FC Levadia Tallinn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trans Narva10%fair 9.69 · @12.00
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @5.50
FC Levadia Tallinn72%fair 1.38 · @1.20
3.20Expected goals
0.81Trans Narva xG
2.39FC Levadia Tallinn xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–110%
1–29%
0–39%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Trans Narva 0.8 – 2.4 FC Levadia Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Levadia Tallinn to win✓
72%
1.38
1.20
Double chance
FC Levadia Tallinn or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
FC Levadia Tallinn ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Levadia Tallinn / FT FC Levadia Tallinn✓
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.55
–
Form
Trans Narva – last 6
LDLWLW
21 Jun
@ Tammeka
0–1
L
16 Jun
@ Kuressaare
0–0
D
13 Jun
vs Nõmme United
1–2
L
10 Jun
vs Vana Hea Puur
10–0
W
30 May
@ Laagri
0–3
L
20 May
vs Paide
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Levadia Tallinn – last 6
LDWWWW
28 Jun
vs Flora Tallinn
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Kalju Nomme
1–1
D
17 Jun
@ Nõmme United
2–1
W
13 Jun
@ Flora Tallinn
3–1
W
30 May
@ Tammeka
1–0
W
24 May
@ Vaprus
6–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trans Narva and FC Levadia Tallinn.
What is the prediction for Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
Our pick is FC Levadia Tallinn to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
On our numbers Trans Narva have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC Levadia Tallinn 72%.
How many goals will there be in Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Trans Narva 0–2 FC Levadia Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
