Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Vaprus to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVaprus to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceVaprus or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.13
Vaprus vs Kuressaare preview and prediction
The match
Kuressaare travel to Parnu Rannastaadion in the Meistriliiga on Friday 26 June (18:00 WAT) to face Vaprus. Vaprus are 7th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Kuressaare sit 9th on 37 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vaprus's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Flora Tallinn 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Kuressaare's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Trans Narva 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Kuressaare 0–1 Vaprus.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Vaprus and 0.9 for Kuressaare. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vaprus 64%, draw 21%, Kuressaare 14%.
Safer route: Vaprus or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Vaprus to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vaprus or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vaprus 2–0 Kuressaare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vaprus64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Kuressaare14%fair 6.95 · @3.60
3.00Expected goals
2.10Vaprus xG
0.90Kuressaare xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Vaprus 2.1 – 0.9 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Vaprus or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
On our numbers Vaprus have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kuressaare 14%.
How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
Our predicted score is Vaprus 2–0 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Vaprus vs Kuressaare?
Vaprus vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
