Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
1
Value bet: Flora Tallinn to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlora Tallinn to win ✗48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Flora Tallinn vs Paide preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Flora Tallinn take on Paide on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at A. Le Coq Arena. Flora Tallinn are 3rd with 62 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Flora Tallinn's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Vaprus 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paide's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Laagri 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Flora Tallinn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Paide 1–2 Flora Tallinn.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for Flora Tallinn and 1.3 for Paide. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flora Tallinn 48%, draw 22%, Paide 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Flora Tallinn to win at 2.30 – 48% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Flora Tallinn 1–1 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flora Tallinn48%fair 2.09 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Paide30%fair 3.28 · @2.75
2.97Expected goals
1.68Flora Tallinn xG
1.29Paide xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Flora Tallinn 1.7 – 1.3 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Flora Tallinn vs Paide?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Flora Tallinn vs Paide?
On our numbers Flora Tallinn have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paide 30%.
How many goals will there be in Flora Tallinn vs Paide?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flora Tallinn vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Flora Tallinn 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Flora Tallinn vs Paide?
Flora Tallinn vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
