Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKalju Nomme to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.74
Kalju Nomme vs Paide preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Kalju Nomme take on Paide on Sunday 14 June, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Hiiu Stadium. Kalju Nomme are 4th with 61 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kalju Nomme's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Vaprus 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paide's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Kuressaare 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Paide 1–0 Kalju Nomme. Across their last 2 meetings Kalju Nomme have won 0, Paide 2, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Kalju Nomme and 1.0 for Paide. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kalju Nomme 59%, draw 19%, Paide 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kalju Nomme to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kalju Nomme 1–0 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kalju Nomme59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.40
Paide22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
2.75Expected goals
1.79Kalju Nomme xG
0.96Paide xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Kalju Nomme 1.8 – 1.0 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Kalju Nomme to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Kalju Nomme vs Paide?
On our numbers Kalju Nomme have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Paide 22%.
How many goals will there be in Kalju Nomme vs Paide?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalju Nomme vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Kalju Nomme 1–0 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kalju Nomme vs Paide?
Kalju Nomme vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
