Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Tammeka to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTammeka to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceTammeka or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Tammeka vs Vaprus preview and prediction
The match
Vaprus travel to Tamme Stadium in the Meistriliiga on Saturday 13 June (15:00 WAT) to face Tammeka. Tammeka are 5th with 53 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Vaprus sit 7th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tammeka's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Vaprus's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Kalju Nomme 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Vaprus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Tammeka and 1.0 for Vaprus. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tammeka 61%, draw 20%, Vaprus 19%.
Safer route: Tammeka or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Tammeka to win at 1.83 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tammeka or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tammeka 2–1 Vaprus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tammeka61%fair 1.65 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Vaprus19%fair 5.26 · @3.50
3.04Expected goals
2.02Tammeka xG
1.02Vaprus xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tammeka 2.0 – 1.0 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tammeka to win✗
61%
1.65
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Tammeka or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Tammeka ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tammeka / FT Tammeka✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Tammeka – last 6
LWWLLL
30 May
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
0–1
L
8 May
vs Kuressaare
1–0
W
1 May
@ Paide
1–0
W
22 Apr
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Paide
1–4
L
7 Apr
@ Trans Narva
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vaprus – last 6
WLLWWL
30 May
vs Kalju Nomme
3–1
W
24 May
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
1–6
L
6 May
@ Paide
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Kalju Nomme
2–1
W
21 Apr
@ Kuressaare
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tammeka and Vaprus.
Our pick is Tammeka or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tammeka vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Tammeka have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vaprus 19%.
How many goals will there be in Tammeka vs Vaprus?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tammeka vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Tammeka 2–1 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tammeka vs Vaprus?
Tammeka vs Vaprus (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tamme Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
