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Meistriliiga · Estonia · Parnu Rannastaadion

Vaprus

LLWWL
3–1
FT

Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

Kalju Nomme to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKalju Nomme to win ✗69% · @1.44
Double chanceKalju Nomme or draw ✗88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.01

Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme preview and prediction

The match

Kalju Nomme travel to Parnu Rannastaadion in the Meistriliiga on Saturday 30 May (12:30 WAT) to face Vaprus. Vaprus are 7th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Kalju Nomme sit 4th on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Vaprus's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 1–6 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.

Kalju Nomme's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Laagri 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Kalju Nomme arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Kalju Nomme 1–2 Vaprus.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Vaprus and 2.2 for Kalju Nomme. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Kalju Nomme to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Vaprus 0–2 Kalju Nomme. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Vaprus12%fair 8.40 · @6.00
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.00
Kalju Nomme69%fair 1.45 · @1.44
2.92Expected goals
0.77Vaprus xG
2.15Kalju Nomme xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%

From our goals model: Vaprus 0.8 – 2.2 Kalju Nomme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKalju Nomme to win ✗69%1.451.44
Double chanceKalju Nomme or draw ✗88%1.141.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Half-time resultKalju Nomme ahead at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kalju Nomme / FT Kalju Nomme ✗45%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12%8.01–

Form

Vaprus – last 6

LLWWLL
24 Mayvs FC Levadia Tallinn1–6L
6 May@ Paide0–2L
26 Apr@ Kalju Nomme2–1W
21 Apr@ Kuressaare1–0W
8 Apr@ FC Levadia Tallinn1–2L
14 Mar@ Nõmme United1–7L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kalju Nomme – last 6

WWLWLW
20 Mayvs Laagri1–0W
17 May@ Kuressaare2–0W
10 Mayvs Flora Tallinn0–1L
1 May@ Trans Narva3–0W
26 Aprvs Vaprus1–2L
22 Aprvs Nõmme United7–1W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Kalju Nomme v Vaprus1–2
Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

Our pick is Kalju Nomme to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

On our numbers Vaprus have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kalju Nomme 69%.

How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

Our predicted score is Vaprus 0–2 Kalju Nomme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?

Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.