Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Nõmme United take on Flora Tallinn on Friday 29 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Nõmme United are 8th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Flora Tallinn sit 3rd on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme United's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Kuressaare 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Flora Tallinn's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kalju Nomme 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Flora Tallinn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Flora Tallinn 3–1 Nõmme United. Across their last 2 meetings Nõmme United have won 0, Flora Tallinn 2, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.0 for Nõmme United and 2.8 for Flora Tallinn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United 9%, draw 20%, Flora Tallinn 71%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Flora Tallinn to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Nõmme United 1–2 Flora Tallinn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United9%fair 11.14 · @6.50
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.60
Flora Tallinn71%fair 1.40 · @1.35
3.84Expected goals
1.05Nõmme United xG
2.79Flora Tallinn xG
62%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
0–38%
1–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 1.0 – 2.8 Flora Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?
Our pick is Flora Tallinn to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Flora Tallinn 71%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 1–2 Flora Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn?
Nõmme United vs Flora Tallinn (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
