Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNõmme United to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Kuressaare vs Nõmme United preview and prediction
The match
The Meistriliiga sees Kuressaare take on Nõmme United on Wednesday 20 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Kuressaare Linnastaadion. Kuressaare are 9th with 37 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Nõmme United sit 8th on 38 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kuressaare's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Kalju Nomme 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Nõmme United's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Paide 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Nõmme United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for Kuressaare and 1.8 for Nõmme United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kuressaare 36%, draw 21%, Nõmme United 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Kuressaare 1–2 Nõmme United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kuressaare36%fair 2.81 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Nõmme United43%fair 2.33 · @2.05
3.43Expected goals
1.62Kuressaare xG
1.80Nõmme United xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–25%
From our goals model: Kuressaare 1.6 – 1.8 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nõmme United to win✗
43%
2.33
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nõmme United / FT Nõmme United✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.67
–
Form
Kuressaare – last 6
LLLLLL
17 May
vs Kalju Nomme
0–2
L
8 May
@ Tammeka
0–1
L
2 May
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs Vaprus
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Flora Tallinn
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Paide
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nõmme United – last 6
LLLDLW
10 May
vs Paide
2–3
L
22 Apr
@ Kalju Nomme
1–7
L
8 Apr
@ Paide
1–3
L
4 Apr
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Tammeka
2–3
L
14 Mar
vs Vaprus
7–1
W
2.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kuressaare and Nõmme United.
What is the prediction for Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Kuressaare have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nõmme United 43%.
How many goals will there be in Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Kuressaare 1–2 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
Kuressaare vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kuressaare Linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
