Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Levadia Tallinn to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn preview and prediction
The match
Paide host FC Levadia Tallinn in the Meistriliiga on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Paide linnastaadion. Paide are 2nd with 64 points from 36 games (in the top four), while FC Levadia Tallinn sit 1st on 91 points (top of the table). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Paide's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Nõmme United 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Levadia Tallinn's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Laagri 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
FC Levadia Tallinn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.1 for Paide and 2.0 for FC Levadia Tallinn. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paide 20%, draw 20%, FC Levadia Tallinn 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Paide 1–1 FC Levadia Tallinn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paide20%fair 4.89 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.70
FC Levadia Tallinn60%fair 1.68 · @1.73
3.05Expected goals
1.06Paide xG
1.99FC Levadia Tallinn xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Paide 1.1 – 2.0 FC Levadia Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Levadia Tallinn to win✓
60%
1.68
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.40
Half-time result
FC Levadia Tallinn ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Levadia Tallinn / FT FC Levadia Tallinn✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Paide – last 6
WWLLDW
10 May
@ Nõmme United
3–2
W
6 May
vs Vaprus
2–0
W
1 May
vs Tammeka
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Flora Tallinn
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ Laagri
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Kalju Nomme
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Levadia Tallinn – last 6
WWWWDW
9 May
vs Laagri
3–0
W
2 May
@ Kuressaare
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Tammeka
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Flora Tallinn
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ Kalju Nomme
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Vaprus
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paide and FC Levadia Tallinn.
What is the prediction for Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
On our numbers Paide have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Levadia Tallinn 60%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Paide 1–1 FC Levadia Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
