Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✓59% · @1.65
Double chancePaide or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Nõmme United vs Paide preview and prediction
The match
Nõmme United host Paide in the Meistriliiga on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Nõmme United are 8th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nõmme United's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Kalju Nomme 1–7 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Paide's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Vaprus 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Paide arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Paide 3–1 Nõmme United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.4 for Nõmme United and 2.4 for Paide. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nõmme United 19%, draw 22%, Paide 59%.
Safer route: Paide or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nõmme United 1–2 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nõmme United19%fair 5.24 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.90
Paide59%fair 1.69 · @1.65
3.80Expected goals
1.37Nõmme United xG
2.43Paide xG
68%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–17%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–15%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 1.4 – 2.4 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Paide?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paide 59%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Paide?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 1–2 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Paide?
Nõmme United vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
