Trans Narva travel to Parnu Rannastaadion in the Meistriliiga on Saturday 9 May (15:00 WAT) to face Vaprus. Vaprus are 7th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Trans Narva sit 10th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vaprus's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Paide 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Trans Narva's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Flora Tallinn 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Vaprus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Vaprus 0–2 Trans Narva.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.9 for Vaprus and 1.6 for Trans Narva. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vaprus 44%, draw 22%, Trans Narva 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Vaprus 1–1 Trans Narva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vaprus44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Trans Narva34%fair 2.97 · @3.00
3.50Expected goals
1.88Vaprus xG
1.62Trans Narva xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%
From our goals model: Vaprus 1.9 – 1.6 Trans Narva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Vaprus vs Trans Narva?
On our numbers Vaprus have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Trans Narva 34%.
How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Trans Narva?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Trans Narva?
Our predicted score is Vaprus 1–1 Trans Narva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Vaprus vs Trans Narva?
Vaprus vs Trans Narva (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
