Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTammeka to win ✓62% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Tammeka vs Kuressaare preview and prediction
The match
Tammeka host Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga on Friday 8 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tamme Stadium. Tammeka are 5th with 53 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Kuressaare sit 9th on 37 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tammeka's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Paide 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Kuressaare's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Tammeka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Tammeka and 1.0 for Kuressaare. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tammeka 62%, draw 16%, Kuressaare 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tammeka to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tammeka 2–1 Kuressaare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tammeka62%fair 1.61 · @1.90
Draw16%fair 6.13 · @3.60
Kuressaare22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
3.00Expected goals
1.98Tammeka xG
1.03Kuressaare xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Tammeka 2.0 – 1.0 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tammeka to win✓
62%
1.61
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Half-time result
Tammeka ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tammeka / FT Tammeka✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Tammeka – last 6
WLLLWW
1 May
@ Paide
1–0
W
22 Apr
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Paide
1–4
L
7 Apr
@ Trans Narva
0–3
L
3 Apr
vs Flora Tallinn
3–1
W
21 Mar
@ Nõmme United
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kuressaare – last 6
LLLLLL
2 May
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs Vaprus
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Flora Tallinn
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Paide
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Kalju Nomme
0–4
L
8 Mar
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tammeka and Kuressaare.
Our pick is Tammeka to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Tammeka vs Kuressaare?
On our numbers Tammeka have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kuressaare 22%.
How many goals will there be in Tammeka vs Kuressaare?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tammeka vs Kuressaare?
Our predicted score is Tammeka 2–1 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tammeka vs Kuressaare?
Tammeka vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tamme Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
