The Meistriliiga sees Vaprus take on Nõmme United on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Parnu Rannastaadion. Vaprus are 7th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Nõmme United sit 8th on 38 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vaprus's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Kalju Nomme 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Nõmme United's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Kalju Nomme 1–7 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Vaprus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Nõmme United 7–1 Vaprus.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.0 for Vaprus and 1.8 for Nõmme United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vaprus 45%, draw 20%, Nõmme United 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Vaprus 2–1 Nõmme United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vaprus45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.50
Nõmme United35%fair 2.89 · @2.80
3.83Expected goals
2.05Vaprus xG
1.78Nõmme United xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Vaprus 2.0 – 1.8 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Vaprus have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nõmme United 35%.
How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Vaprus 2–1 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
Vaprus vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
