Tammeka host Paide in the Meistriliiga on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Tamme Stadium. Tammeka are 5th with 53 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Tammeka's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Trans Narva 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Paide's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Nõmme United 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paide arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 0.9 for Tammeka and 2.4 for Paide. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tammeka 11%, draw 21%, Paide 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Tammeka 0–2 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tammeka11%fair 9.42 · @6.00
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.20
Paide68%fair 1.46 · @1.40
3.30Expected goals
0.91Tammeka xG
2.39Paide xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
0–38%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Tammeka 0.9 – 2.4 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paide to win✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Double chance
Paide or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Paide ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paide / FT Paide✓
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.49
–
Form
Tammeka – last 5
LWWLW
7 Apr
@ Trans Narva
0–3
L
3 Apr
vs Flora Tallinn
3–1
W
21 Mar
@ Nõmme United
3–2
W
8 Mar
vs Kalju Nomme
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Viimsi
2–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Paide – last 6
WWWWLW
8 Apr
vs Nõmme United
3–1
W
3 Apr
@ Kuressaare
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Trans Narva
1–0
W
11 Mar
vs Tallinna Kalev
6–0
W
7 Mar
@ Vaprus
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Super Nova
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tammeka and Paide.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tammeka vs Paide?
On our numbers Tammeka have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paide 68%.
How many goals will there be in Tammeka vs Paide?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tammeka vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Tammeka 0–2 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tammeka vs Paide?
Tammeka vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Tamme Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
