Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaide to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chancePaide or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Kuressaare vs Paide preview and prediction
The match
Kuressaare host Paide in the Meistriliiga on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Kuressaare Linnastaadion. Kuressaare are 9th with 37 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kuressaare's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Kalju Nomme 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Paide's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Trans Narva 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.4 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paide arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.0 for Kuressaare and 2.5 for Paide. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kuressaare 10%, draw 23%, Paide 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paide to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Kuressaare 0–2 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kuressaare10%fair 10.46 · @6.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.33
Paide68%fair 1.48 · @1.36
3.50Expected goals
0.98Kuressaare xG
2.52Paide xG
53%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–29%
0–38%
1–38%
0–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Kuressaare 1.0 – 2.5 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paide to win✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Double chance
Paide or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Paide ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paide / FT Paide✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
10.43
–
Form
Kuressaare – last 3
LLD
21 Mar
@ Kalju Nomme
0–4
L
8 Mar
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Trans Narva
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Paide – last 5
WWLWW
15 Mar
vs Trans Narva
1–0
W
11 Mar
vs Tallinna Kalev
6–0
W
7 Mar
@ Vaprus
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Super Nova
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kalju Nomme
2–1
W
2.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kuressaare and Paide.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Kuressaare vs Paide?
On our numbers Kuressaare have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paide 68%.
How many goals will there be in Kuressaare vs Paide?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kuressaare vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Kuressaare 0–2 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Kuressaare vs Paide?
Kuressaare vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Kuressaare Linnastaadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.