Value bet: FC Levadia Tallinn to win @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Levadia Tallinn to win61% · @1.77
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–011% · fair 9.17
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide preview and prediction
The match
Paide travel to A. Le Coq Arena in the Meistriliiga on Sunday 22 March (14:00 WAT) to face FC Levadia Tallinn. FC Levadia Tallinn are 1st with 91 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Paide sit 2nd on 64 points (in the top four). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Paide's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Trans Narva 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.4 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for FC Levadia Tallinn and 0.9 for Paide. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Levadia Tallinn 61%, draw 25%, Paide 14%.
Safer route: FC Levadia Tallinn or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Value angle: FC Levadia Tallinn to win at 1.77 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FC Levadia Tallinn 2–0 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Levadia Tallinn61%fair 1.64 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.60
Paide14%fair 7.23 · @3.90
2.93Expected goals
2.03FC Levadia Tallinn xG
0.91Paide xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Levadia Tallinn 2.0 – 0.9 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Levadia Tallinn to win
61%
1.64
1.77 ▲
Double chance
FC Levadia Tallinn or draw
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.42
Half-time result
FC Levadia Tallinn ahead at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Levadia Tallinn / FT FC Levadia Tallinn
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
11%
9.17
–
Form
FC Levadia Tallinn – last 2
WW
15 Mar
@ Laagri
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Kuressaare
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paide – last 5
WWLWW
15 Mar
vs Trans Narva
1–0
W
11 Mar
vs Tallinna Kalev
6–0
W
7 Mar
@ Vaprus
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Super Nova
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kalju Nomme
2–1
W
2.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Levadia Tallinn and Paide.
What is the prediction for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
On our numbers FC Levadia Tallinn have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paide 14%.
How many goals will there be in FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
Our predicted score is FC Levadia Tallinn 2–0 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
