Laagri travel to Narva Kreenholmi staadion in the Meistriliiga on Saturday 7 March (16:00 WAT) to face Trans Narva. Trans Narva are 10th with 23 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Laagri sit 6th on 47 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Trans Narva and 0.9 for Laagri. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trans Narva 65%, draw 23%, Laagri 12%.
Safer route: Trans Narva or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Trans Narva to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trans Narva 2–0 Laagri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trans Narva65%fair 1.53 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.75
Laagri12%fair 8.37 · @4.20
3.00Expected goals
2.14Trans Narva xG
0.85Laagri xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Trans Narva 2.1 – 0.9 Laagri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trans Narva to win
65%
1.53
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Trans Narva or draw
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.48
Half-time result
Trans Narva ahead at half-time
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trans Narva / FT Trans Narva
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.21
–
Form
Trans Narva – last 2
DW
21 Feb
@ Kuressaare
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Vaprus
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Laagri – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs Riga Mariners
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trans Narva and Laagri.
Our pick is Trans Narva to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Trans Narva vs Laagri?
On our numbers Trans Narva have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Laagri 12%.
How many goals will there be in Trans Narva vs Laagri?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trans Narva vs Laagri?
Our predicted score is Trans Narva 2–0 Laagri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Trans Narva vs Laagri?
Trans Narva vs Laagri (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Narva Kreenholmi staadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
