Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: MC Oran to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMC Oran to win ✗56% · @1.90
Double chanceMC Oran or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.17
MC Oran vs USM Alger preview and prediction
The match
MC Oran host USM Alger in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 6 June, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Miloud Hadefi stadium. MC Oran are 5th with 15 points from 8 games (in the top half), while USM Alger sit 6th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MC Oran's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to CR Belouizdad 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
USM Alger's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Ben Aknoun 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
MC Oran arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for MC Oran and 0.7 for USM Alger. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: MC Oran 56%, draw 26%, USM Alger 18%.
Safer route: MC Oran or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.70.
Value angle: MC Oran to win at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: MC Oran 1–0 USM Alger. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MC Oran56%fair 1.78 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.10
USM Alger18%fair 5.62 · @4.10
2.23Expected goals
1.51MC Oran xG
0.72USM Alger xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: MC Oran 1.5 – 0.7 USM Alger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MC Oran to win✗
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Double chance
MC Oran or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MC Oran / FT MC Oran✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.17
–
Form
MC Oran – last 6
LWWLWW
20 May
@ CR Belouizdad
1–3
L
7 May
vs ASO Chlef
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ JS Kabylie
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ ES Setif
0–3
L
9 Apr
vs MB Rouisset
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ CS Constantine
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
USM Alger – last 6
DDLLWW
4 Jun
@ Ben Aknoun
2–2
D
2 Jun
vs CR Belouizdad
1–1
D
30 May
@ MB Rouisset
0–1
L
25 May
@ Khenchela
1–2
L
22 May
vs Paradou AC
4–2
W
19 May
vs Olympique Akbou
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MC Oran and USM Alger.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win MC Oran vs USM Alger?
On our numbers MC Oran have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and USM Alger 18%.
How many goals will there be in MC Oran vs USM Alger?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MC Oran vs USM Alger?
Our predicted score is MC Oran 1–0 USM Alger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is MC Oran vs USM Alger?
MC Oran vs USM Alger (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Miloud Hadefi stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
