Value bet: Ben Aknoun to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBen Aknoun to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceBen Aknoun or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.48
Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger preview and prediction
The match
USM Alger travel to 20 August 1955 Stadium in the Ligue 1 on Thursday 4 June (17:00 WAT) to face Ben Aknoun. Ben Aknoun are 11th with 8 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while USM Alger sit 6th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ben Aknoun's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to CR Belouizdad 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
USM Alger's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with CR Belouizdad 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Ben Aknoun and 0.7 for USM Alger. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ben Aknoun 61%, draw 23%, USM Alger 17%.
Safer route: Ben Aknoun or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Ben Aknoun to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ben Aknoun 1–0 USM Alger. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ben Aknoun61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
USM Alger17%fair 6.00 · @4.33
2.37Expected goals
1.66Ben Aknoun xG
0.72USM Alger xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ben Aknoun 1.7 – 0.7 USM Alger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ben Aknoun to win✗
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Ben Aknoun or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ben Aknoun / FT Ben Aknoun✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.48
–
Form
Ben Aknoun – last 6
LWLWDL
24 May
@ CR Belouizdad
1–3
L
19 May
vs Mostaganem
3–0
W
21 Apr
vs MC Alger
2–3
L
10 Apr
vs ASO Chlef
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ ES Setif
1–1
D
1 Apr
@ JS Kabylie
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
USM Alger – last 6
DLLWWD
2 Jun
vs CR Belouizdad
1–1
D
30 May
@ MB Rouisset
0–1
L
25 May
@ Khenchela
1–2
L
22 May
vs Paradou AC
4–2
W
19 May
vs Olympique Akbou
1–0
W
12 May
vs Mostaganem
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ben Aknoun and USM Alger.
What is the prediction for Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?
On our numbers Ben Aknoun have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and USM Alger 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?
Our predicted score is Ben Aknoun 1–0 USM Alger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger?
Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger (Ligue 1) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at 20 August 1955 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
