Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: MC Oran to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMC Oran to win ✗37% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.75
ES Setif vs MC Oran preview and prediction
The match
MC Oran travel to Stade 8 Mai 1945 in the Ligue 1 on Friday 17 April (17:45 WAT) to face ES Setif. ES Setif are 10th with 9 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while MC Oran sit 5th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
ES Setif's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Ben Aknoun 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
MC Oran's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat MB Rouisset 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
MC Oran arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for ES Setif and 1.1 for MC Oran. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Setif 36%, draw 27%, MC Oran 37%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.62.
Value angle: MC Oran to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: ES Setif 1–1 MC Oran. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Setif36%fair 2.78 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.75
MC Oran37%fair 2.69 · @3.00
2.11Expected goals
1.05ES Setif xG
1.07MC Oran xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: ES Setif 1.0 – 1.1 MC Oran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MC Oran to win✗
37%
2.69
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.75
–
Form
ES Setif – last 5
DLLWL
5 Apr
vs Ben Aknoun
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ USM Alger
0–2
L
6 Mar
@ ASO Chlef
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs MB Rouisset
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ CS Constantine
0–2
L
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
MC Oran – last 6
WWWLWW
9 Apr
vs MB Rouisset
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ CS Constantine
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs El Bayadh
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ JS Saoura
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Khenchela
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Paradou AC
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Setif and MC Oran.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win ES Setif vs MC Oran?
On our numbers ES Setif have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and MC Oran 37%.
How many goals will there be in ES Setif vs MC Oran?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Setif vs MC Oran?
Our predicted score is ES Setif 1–1 MC Oran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is ES Setif vs MC Oran?
ES Setif vs MC Oran (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade 8 Mai 1945.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
El Bayadh0
Paradou AC1