Value bet: MC Alger to win @ 2.65 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMC Alger to win ✗44% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.42
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.46
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.94
MC Oran vs MC Alger preview and prediction
The match
MC Oran host MC Alger in the Ligue 1 on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Miloud Hadefi stadium. MC Oran are 5th with 15 points from 8 games (in the top half), while MC Alger sit 3rd on 16 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for MC Oran and 1.0 for MC Alger. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: MC Oran 30%, draw 25%, MC Alger 44%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.46.
Value angle: MC Alger to win at 2.65 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: MC Oran 0–1 MC Alger. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MC Oran30%fair 3.28 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.65
MC Alger44%fair 2.25 · @2.65
1.82Expected goals
0.78MC Oran xG
1.04MC Alger xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: MC Oran 0.8 – 1.0 MC Alger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MC Alger to win✗
44%
2.25
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.42 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.46
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.94
–
Form
MC Oran
No recent results on record.
MC Alger
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MC Oran and MC Alger.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win MC Oran vs MC Alger?
On our numbers MC Oran have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and MC Alger 44%.
How many goals will there be in MC Oran vs MC Alger?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MC Oran vs MC Alger?
Our predicted score is MC Oran 0–1 MC Alger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is MC Oran vs MC Alger?
MC Oran vs MC Alger (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Miloud Hadefi stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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