Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUSM Alger to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceUSM Alger or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
USM Alger vs Paradou AC preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees USM Alger take on Paradou AC on Friday 22 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962.
Form guide
USM Alger's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Olympique Akbou 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Paradou AC's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to MB Rouisset 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for USM Alger and 0.6 for Paradou AC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: USM Alger 67%, draw 20%, Paradou AC 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was USM Alger to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: USM Alger 1–0 Paradou AC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
USM Alger67%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.00
Paradou AC14%fair 7.27 · @6.00
2.44Expected goals
1.80USM Alger xG
0.64Paradou AC xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: USM Alger 1.8 – 0.6 Paradou AC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USM Alger to win✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Double chance
USM Alger or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
USM Alger ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USM Alger / FT USM Alger✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.35
–
Form
USM Alger – last 6
WDWDLL
19 May
vs Olympique Akbou
1–0
W
12 May
vs Mostaganem
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs CR Belouizdad
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ CA Batna
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ ASO Chlef
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ MC Alger
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Paradou AC – last 6
LWWLLL
19 May
@ MB Rouisset
1–2
L
7 May
vs CS Constantine
5–3
W
17 Apr
@ El Bayadh
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Khenchela
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs CR Belouizdad
0–3
L
17 Mar
@ Mostaganem
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USM Alger and Paradou AC.
What is the prediction for USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
Our pick is USM Alger to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
On our numbers USM Alger have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paradou AC 14%.
How many goals will there be in USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
Our predicted score is USM Alger 1–0 Paradou AC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is USM Alger vs Paradou AC?
USM Alger vs Paradou AC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
