Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Portland Timbers II to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortland Timbers II to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees Tacoma Defiance take on Portland Timbers II on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Starfire Sports. Tacoma Defiance are 9th with 41 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Portland Timbers II sit 2nd on 57 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tacoma Defiance's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Ventura County 0–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Portland Timbers II's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with St. Louis City II 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portland Timbers II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 July 2026, finished Tacoma Defiance 0–2 Portland Timbers II. Across their last 2 meetings Tacoma Defiance have won 0, Portland Timbers II 2, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Tacoma Defiance and 1.5 for Portland Timbers II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Portland Timbers II to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Portland Timbers II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tacoma Defiance36%fair 2.79 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Portland Timbers II41%fair 2.41 · @2.62
2.94Expected goals
1.41Tacoma Defiance xG
1.53Portland Timbers II xG
66%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 1.4 – 1.5 Portland Timbers II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?
On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portland Timbers II 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?
Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Portland Timbers II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II?
Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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