Real Monarchs vs Ventura County preview and prediction
The match
Real Monarchs host Ventura County in the MLS Next Pro on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Zions Bank Stadium. Real Monarchs are 11th with 33 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Ventura County sit 3rd on 53 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Real Monarchs's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Minnesota United II 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ventura County's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Tacoma Defiance 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Ventura County arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Ventura County 3–1 Real Monarchs. Across their last 2 meetings Real Monarchs have won 0, Ventura County 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.6 for Real Monarchs and 2.0 for Ventura County. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Monarchs 31%, draw 20%, Ventura County 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.33.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Real Monarchs 1–1 Ventura County. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Monarchs31%fair 3.17 · @2.60
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.40
Ventura County48%fair 2.08 · @2.20
3.57Expected goals
1.58Real Monarchs xG
1.99Ventura County xG
69%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
1–36%
0–16%
From our goals model: Real Monarchs 1.6 – 2.0 Ventura County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Monarchs vs Ventura County?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Real Monarchs vs Ventura County?
On our numbers Real Monarchs have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ventura County 48%.
How many goals will there be in Real Monarchs vs Ventura County?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Monarchs vs Ventura County?
Our predicted score is Real Monarchs 1–1 Ventura County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Real Monarchs vs Ventura County?
Real Monarchs vs Ventura County (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Zions Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.