Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance prediction & analysis

Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance preview and prediction

The match

The MLS Next Pro sees Ventura County take on Tacoma Defiance on Monday 14 September, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Dignity Health Sports Park. Ventura County are 3rd with 53 points from 28 games (in the top four), while Tacoma Defiance sit 9th on 41 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Ventura County's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat The Town 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.

Tacoma Defiance's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat The Town 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.

Ventura County arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Tacoma Defiance 1–0 Ventura County.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Ventura County and 1.3 for Tacoma Defiance. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

• Win chances: Ventura County 61%, draw 14%, Tacoma Defiance 25%.
• Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.35.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Ventura County to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ventura County 2–1 Tacoma Defiance. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.