North Texas vs Real Monarchs prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorth Texas to win ✓48% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
North Texas vs Real Monarchs preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees North Texas take on Real Monarchs on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 01:45 (WAT) at Choctaw Stadium. North Texas are 10th with 40 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Real Monarchs sit 11th on 33 points (in the top half).
Form guide
North Texas's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with St. Louis City II 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Real Monarchs's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Tacoma Defiance 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
North Texas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.9 for North Texas and 1.5 for Real Monarchs. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: North Texas 48%, draw 20%, Real Monarchs 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: North Texas 1–1 Real Monarchs. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
North Texas48%fair 2.10 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.50
Real Monarchs32%fair 3.11 · @2.75
3.42Expected goals
1.90North Texas xG
1.52Real Monarchs xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: North Texas 1.9 – 1.5 Real Monarchs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
North Texas to win✓
48%
2.10
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
North Texas ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT North Texas / FT North Texas✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Form
North Texas – last 6
DDDLWL
29 Aug
@ St. Louis City II
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Minnesota United II
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Austin II
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Portland Timbers II
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Tacoma Defiance
3–1
W
1 Aug
@ Ventura County
1–6
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Monarchs – last 6
WLLLLL
31 Aug
vs Tacoma Defiance
3–0
W
24 Aug
@ Colorado Rapids II
1–4
L
9 Aug
@ Houston Dynamo FC II
0–3
L
3 Aug
@ St. Louis City II
0–3
L
26 Jul
@ Portland Timbers II
0–1
L
20 Jul
vs Tacoma Defiance
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between North Texas and Real Monarchs.
What is the prediction for North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
On our numbers North Texas have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Monarchs 32%.
How many goals will there be in North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
Our predicted score is North Texas 1–1 Real Monarchs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is North Texas vs Real Monarchs?
North Texas vs Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Choctaw Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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