Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting KC II prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Tacoma Defiance to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTacoma Defiance to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting KC II preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees Tacoma Defiance take on Sporting KC II on Tuesday 25 August, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Starfire Sports. Tacoma Defiance are 9th with 41 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Sporting KC II sit 13th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tacoma Defiance's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Los Angeles FC II 3–4 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Sporting KC II's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Los Angeles FC II 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Tacoma Defiance arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for Tacoma Defiance and 1.3 for Sporting KC II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Tacoma Defiance to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tacoma Defiance 2–1 Sporting KC II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tacoma Defiance62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @3.90
Sporting KC II21%fair 4.82 · @3.55
3.57Expected goals
2.31Tacoma Defiance xG
1.26Sporting KC II xG
54%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 2.3 – 1.3 Sporting KC II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tacoma Defiance to win✓
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.65
Half-time result
Tacoma Defiance ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tacoma Defiance / FT Tacoma Defiance✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Form
Tacoma Defiance – last 6
LLWWWW
17 Aug
@ Los Angeles FC II
3–4
L
9 Aug
@ North Texas
1–3
L
2 Aug
vs Vancouver Whitecaps II
4–2
W
27 Jul
vs Colorado Rapids II
2–1
W
20 Jul
@ Real Monarchs
4–2
W
13 Jul
@ The Town
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sporting KC II – last 6
LDLWWL
21 Aug
@ Los Angeles FC II
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Colorado Rapids II
2–2
D
10 Aug
@ Austin II
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Houston Dynamo FC II
3–2
W
20 Jul
vs Minnesota United II
1–0
W
8 Jul
@ The Town
1–6
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacoma Defiance and Sporting KC II.
What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting KC II?
Our pick is Tacoma Defiance to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting KC II?
On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sporting KC II 21%.
How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting KC II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting KC II?
Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 2–1 Sporting KC II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting KC II?
Tacoma Defiance vs Sporting KC II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
