Value bet: Crown Legacy to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCrown Legacy to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC preview and prediction
The match
Crown Legacy host Connecticut FC in the MLS Next Pro on Thursday 20 August, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Sportsplex at Matthews. Crown Legacy are 1st with 58 points from 28 games (top of the table), while Connecticut FC sit 7th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Crown Legacy's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Huntsville City 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Connecticut FC's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat FC Cincinnati II 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.5 for Crown Legacy and 1.5 for Connecticut FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crown Legacy 59%, draw 17%, Connecticut FC 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Crown Legacy to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Crown Legacy 2–1 Connecticut FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crown Legacy59%fair 1.68 · @1.83
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @3.70
Connecticut FC24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
3.98Expected goals
2.46Crown Legacy xG
1.52Connecticut FC xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–27%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Crown Legacy 2.5 – 1.5 Connecticut FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crown Legacy to win✗
59%
1.68
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Crown Legacy ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crown Legacy / FT Crown Legacy✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.64
–
Form
Crown Legacy – last 6
DWWWWL
13 Aug
@ Huntsville City
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Inter Miami II
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Huntsville City
3–1
W
25 Jul
@ New York RB II
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Chicago Fire II
3–2
W
12 Jul
vs New York City II
0–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Connecticut FC – last 6
WLWWWW
16 Aug
@ FC Cincinnati II
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs New England II
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Orlando City II
4–2
W
26 Jul
vs Columbus Crew II
2–1
W
19 Jul
vs New York RB II
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Toronto II
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crown Legacy and Connecticut FC.
What is the prediction for Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC?
On our numbers Crown Legacy have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Connecticut FC 24%.
How many goals will there be in Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC?
Our predicted score is Crown Legacy 2–1 Connecticut FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC?
Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportsplex at Matthews.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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