Value bet: Atlanta United II to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta United II to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Atlanta United II vs New York RB II preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees Atlanta United II take on New York RB II on Friday 14 August, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Fifth Third Stadium. Atlanta United II are 3rd with 48 points from 28 games (in the top four), while New York RB II sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atlanta United II's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Chattanooga 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
New York RB II's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Columbus Crew II 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Atlanta United II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.4 for Atlanta United II and 1.4 for New York RB II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta United II 59%, draw 18%, New York RB II 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Atlanta United II to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Atlanta United II 2–1 New York RB II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta United II59%fair 1.68 · @1.80
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @3.60
New York RB II23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
3.86Expected goals
2.42Atlanta United II xG
1.44New York RB II xG
69%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–25%
From our goals model: Atlanta United II 2.4 – 1.4 New York RB II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta United II to win✗
59%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Atlanta United II ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta United II / FT Atlanta United II✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Atlanta United II – last 6
LDWLWW
9 Aug
@ Chattanooga
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Carolina Core
3–3
D
26 Jul
vs New York City II
3–2
W
19 Jul
@ Huntsville City
0–2
L
12 Jul
vs Inter Miami II
4–1
W
5 Jul
vs Toronto II
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
New York RB II – last 6
WLLLLD
8 Aug
@ Columbus Crew II
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs New England II
1–4
L
25 Jul
vs Crown Legacy
0–3
L
19 Jul
@ Connecticut FC
1–2
L
12 Jul
@ Chicago Fire II
0–3
L
5 Jul
@ FC Cincinnati II
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta United II and New York RB II.
What is the prediction for Atlanta United II vs New York RB II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atlanta United II vs New York RB II?
On our numbers Atlanta United II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and New York RB II 23%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta United II vs New York RB II?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United II vs New York RB II?
Our predicted score is Atlanta United II 2–1 New York RB II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Atlanta United II vs New York RB II?
Atlanta United II vs New York RB II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Fifth Third Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
