Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees Tacoma Defiance take on Vancouver Whitecaps II on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Starfire Sports. Tacoma Defiance are 9th with 41 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Vancouver Whitecaps II sit 12th on 27 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tacoma Defiance's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Colorado Rapids II 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Vancouver Whitecaps II's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with St. Louis City II 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Tacoma Defiance arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished Vancouver Whitecaps II 0–2 Tacoma Defiance. Across their last 2 meetings Tacoma Defiance have won 1, Vancouver Whitecaps II 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Tacoma Defiance and 1.2 for Vancouver Whitecaps II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tacoma Defiance 57%, draw 18%, Vancouver Whitecaps II 25%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tacoma Defiance to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tacoma Defiance 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tacoma Defiance57%fair 1.74 · @1.85
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @3.70
Vancouver Whitecaps II25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
3.20Expected goals
1.99Tacoma Defiance xG
1.21Vancouver Whitecaps II xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 2.0 – 1.2 Vancouver Whitecaps II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
Our pick is Tacoma Defiance to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Vancouver Whitecaps II 25%.
How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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