Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Ventura County vs North Texas preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees Ventura County take on North Texas on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Dignity Health Sports Park. Ventura County are 3rd with 53 points from 28 games (in the top four), while North Texas sit 10th on 40 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ventura County's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat The Town 3–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
North Texas's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Los Angeles FC II 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ventura County arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Ventura County and 1.6 for North Texas. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ventura County 43%, draw 21%, North Texas 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Ventura County 1–1 North Texas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ventura County43%fair 2.31 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
North Texas35%fair 2.82 · @2.90
3.34Expected goals
1.76Ventura County xG
1.58North Texas xG
55%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Ventura County 1.8 – 1.6 North Texas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ventura County to win✓
43%
2.31
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ventura County / FT Ventura County✓
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Ventura County – last 6
WWLWDW
26 Jul
vs The Town
3–0
W
19 Jul
vs Los Angeles FC II
2–0
W
8 Jul
@ Vancouver Whitecaps II
2–3
L
28 Jun
vs Real Monarchs
3–1
W
14 Jun
vs Colorado Rapids II
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Houston Dynamo FC II
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
North Texas – last 6
DWLWDL
26 Jul
vs Los Angeles FC II
2–2
D
19 Jul
@ The Town
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Colorado Rapids II
0–1
L
5 Jul
vs St. Louis City II
3–0
W
11 Jun
@ Vancouver Whitecaps II
1–1
D
30 May
@ St. Louis City II
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ventura County and North Texas.
What is the prediction for Ventura County vs North Texas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ventura County vs North Texas?
On our numbers Ventura County have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and North Texas 35%.
How many goals will there be in Ventura County vs North Texas?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ventura County vs North Texas?
Our predicted score is Ventura County 1–1 North Texas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Ventura County vs North Texas?
Ventura County vs North Texas (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Dignity Health Sports Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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