Chattanooga vs Philadelphia Union II prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Chattanooga or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Chattanooga to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChattanooga to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceChattanooga or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.63
Chattanooga vs Philadelphia Union II preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees Chattanooga take on Philadelphia Union II on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Finley Stadium. Chattanooga are 2nd with 56 points from 28 games (in the top four), while Philadelphia Union II sit 11th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chattanooga's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Orlando City II 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Philadelphia Union II's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Columbus Crew II 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Chattanooga and 1.0 for Philadelphia Union II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chattanooga 64%, draw 20%, Philadelphia Union II 15%.
Safer route: Chattanooga or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Chattanooga to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chattanooga or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chattanooga 2–0 Philadelphia Union II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chattanooga64%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.40
Philadelphia Union II15%fair 6.64 · @3.80
3.11Expected goals
2.16Chattanooga xG
0.95Philadelphia Union II xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Chattanooga 2.2 – 1.0 Philadelphia Union II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chattanooga to win✓
64%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Chattanooga or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Chattanooga ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chattanooga / FT Chattanooga✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.63
–
Form
Chattanooga – last 6
DDWDDD
19 Jul
vs Orlando City II
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Carolina Core
1–1
D
5 Jul
vs Inter Miami II
1–0
W
28 Jun
vs Chicago Fire II
2–2
D
22 Jun
@ New York City II
1–1
D
14 Jun
@ Atlanta United II
4–4
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union II – last 6
LDWLWD
18 Jul
@ Columbus Crew II
0–2
L
12 Jul
vs Huntsville City
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ New England II
4–0
W
29 Jun
@ New York RB II
0–5
L
22 Jun
@ Orlando City II
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs New York City II
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chattanooga and Philadelphia Union II.
What is the prediction for Chattanooga vs Philadelphia Union II?
Our pick is Chattanooga or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chattanooga vs Philadelphia Union II?
On our numbers Chattanooga have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Philadelphia Union II 15%.
How many goals will there be in Chattanooga vs Philadelphia Union II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chattanooga vs Philadelphia Union II?
Our predicted score is Chattanooga 2–0 Philadelphia Union II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Chattanooga vs Philadelphia Union II?
Chattanooga vs Philadelphia Union II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Finley Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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