Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance preview and prediction
The match
Tacoma Defiance travel to Zions Bank Stadium in the MLS Next Pro on Monday 20 July (02:30 WAT) to face Real Monarchs. Real Monarchs are 11th with 33 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Tacoma Defiance sit 9th on 41 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Real Monarchs's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Vancouver Whitecaps II 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Tacoma Defiance's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat The Town 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tacoma Defiance arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 June 2026, finished Tacoma Defiance 1–0 Real Monarchs.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Real Monarchs and 1.6 for Tacoma Defiance. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Monarchs 48%, draw 22%, Tacoma Defiance 30%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Real Monarchs 1–1 Tacoma Defiance. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Monarchs48%fair 2.08 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.70
Tacoma Defiance30%fair 3.36 · @3.25
3.25Expected goals
1.66Real Monarchs xG
1.59Tacoma Defiance xG
54%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Real Monarchs 1.7 – 1.6 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
On our numbers Real Monarchs have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tacoma Defiance 30%.
How many goals will there be in Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our predicted score is Real Monarchs 1–1 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Zions Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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