Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
The Town vs Tacoma Defiance preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees The Town take on Tacoma Defiance on Monday 13 July, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at PayPal Park. The Town are 8th with 42 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Tacoma Defiance sit 9th on 41 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
The Town's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Sporting KC II 6–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Tacoma Defiance's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Portland Timbers II 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.0 for The Town and 1.3 for Tacoma Defiance. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: The Town 56%, draw 21%, Tacoma Defiance 22%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was The Town to win – a 56% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: The Town 2–1 Tacoma Defiance. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
The Town56%fair 1.77 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.85
Tacoma Defiance22%fair 4.51 · @3.80
3.36Expected goals
2.03The Town xG
1.33Tacoma Defiance xG
56%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: The Town 2.0 – 1.3 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The Town to win✗
56%
1.77
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Half-time result
The Town ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The Town / FT The Town✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
The Town – last 6
WWLWLW
8 Jul
vs Sporting KC II
6–1
W
27 Jun
@ Portland Timbers II
3–2
W
18 Jun
@ Vancouver Whitecaps II
2–3
L
8 Jun
vs Real Monarchs
3–0
W
18 May
vs Portland Timbers II
0–1
L
2 May
@ Ventura County
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tacoma Defiance – last 6
LDWWLW
6 Jul
vs Portland Timbers II
0–2
L
29 Jun
@ Minnesota United II
2–2
D
22 Jun
vs Real Monarchs
1–0
W
18 Jun
vs Houston Dynamo FC II
2–1
W
31 May
@ Portland Timbers II
0–1
L
23 May
vs Ventura County
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between The Town and Tacoma Defiance.
What is the prediction for The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our pick is The Town to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?
On our numbers The Town have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tacoma Defiance 22%.
How many goals will there be in The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our predicted score is The Town 2–1 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is The Town vs Tacoma Defiance?
The Town vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at PayPal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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