Chattanooga vs Chicago Fire II prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Chattanooga or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Chattanooga to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChattanooga to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceChattanooga or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
Chattanooga vs Chicago Fire II preview and prediction
The match
Chicago Fire II travel to Finley Stadium in the MLS Next Pro on Sunday 28 June (00:00 WAT) to face Chattanooga. Chattanooga are 2nd with 56 points from 28 games (in the top four), while Chicago Fire II sit 13th on 39 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chattanooga's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with New York City II 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Chicago Fire II's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat New England II 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Chattanooga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for Chattanooga and 1.2 for Chicago Fire II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chattanooga 61%, draw 20%, Chicago Fire II 19%.
Safer route: Chattanooga or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Chattanooga to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chattanooga or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chattanooga 2–1 Chicago Fire II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chattanooga61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.50
Chicago Fire II19%fair 5.32 · @3.50
3.55Expected goals
2.32Chattanooga xG
1.23Chicago Fire II xG
66%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Chattanooga 2.3 – 1.2 Chicago Fire II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chattanooga to win✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Chattanooga or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Chattanooga ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chattanooga / FT Chattanooga✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Form
Chattanooga – last 6
DDWLWW
22 Jun
@ New York City II
1–1
D
14 Jun
@ Atlanta United II
4–4
D
7 Jun
vs New York RB II
4–0
W
1 Jun
@ Orlando City II
2–5
L
18 May
@ FC Cincinnati II
3–1
W
9 May
@ Inter Miami II
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Chicago Fire II – last 5
WWLLL
21 Jun
@ New England II
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs Inter Miami II
3–1
W
7 Jun
@ Atlanta United II
0–3
L
16 May
@ Carolina Core
1–2
L
6 May
@ New York City II
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chattanooga and Chicago Fire II.
What is the prediction for Chattanooga vs Chicago Fire II?
Our pick is Chattanooga or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chattanooga vs Chicago Fire II?
On our numbers Chattanooga have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chicago Fire II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Chattanooga vs Chicago Fire II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chattanooga vs Chicago Fire II?
Our predicted score is Chattanooga 2–1 Chicago Fire II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Chattanooga vs Chicago Fire II?
Chattanooga vs Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Finley Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colorado Rapids II1
Vancouver Whitecaps II0
Ventura County3
Real Monarchs1
Toronto II1
New England II3
FC Cincinnati II1