Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees Tacoma Defiance take on Real Monarchs on Monday 22 June, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Starfire Sports. Tacoma Defiance are 9th with 41 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Real Monarchs sit 11th on 33 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Tacoma Defiance's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Houston Dynamo FC II 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Real Monarchs's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Portland Timbers II 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Tacoma Defiance arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.0 for Tacoma Defiance and 1.4 for Real Monarchs. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tacoma Defiance 45%, draw 21%, Real Monarchs 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Real Monarchs. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tacoma Defiance45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.75
Real Monarchs34%fair 2.92 · @2.60
3.36Expected goals
1.97Tacoma Defiance xG
1.39Real Monarchs xG
57%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
2–07%
1–27%
2–27%
From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 2.0 – 1.4 Real Monarchs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tacoma Defiance to win✓
45%
2.21
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Half-time result
Tacoma Defiance ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tacoma Defiance / FT Tacoma Defiance✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Form
Tacoma Defiance – last 6
WLWWLW
18 Jun
vs Houston Dynamo FC II
2–1
W
31 May
@ Portland Timbers II
0–1
L
23 May
vs Ventura County
1–0
W
18 May
@ Vancouver Whitecaps II
2–0
W
11 May
@ Austin II
0–3
L
27 Apr
vs Los Angeles FC II
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Monarchs – last 6
WLLWWL
13 Jun
vs Portland Timbers II
4–1
W
8 Jun
@ The Town
0–3
L
30 May
vs Sporting KC II
1–3
L
25 May
@ Vancouver Whitecaps II
3–1
W
21 May
vs Colorado Rapids II
2–0
W
13 Apr
@ Ventura County
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacoma Defiance and Real Monarchs.
What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Monarchs 34%.
How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Real Monarchs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs?
Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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