Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHouston Dynamo FC II to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees Tacoma Defiance take on Houston Dynamo FC II on Thursday 18 June, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Starfire Sports. Tacoma Defiance are 9th with 41 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Houston Dynamo FC II sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Tacoma Defiance's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Portland Timbers II 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Houston Dynamo FC II's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Ventura County 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Houston Dynamo FC II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 March 2026, finished Houston Dynamo FC II 4–0 Tacoma Defiance.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Tacoma Defiance and 1.5 for Houston Dynamo FC II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tacoma Defiance 38%, draw 21%, Houston Dynamo FC II 40%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Houston Dynamo FC II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tacoma Defiance38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
Houston Dynamo FC II40%fair 2.48 · @2.30
2.96Expected goals
1.46Tacoma Defiance xG
1.50Houston Dynamo FC II xG
53%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tacoma Defiance 1.5 – 1.5 Houston Dynamo FC II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Houston Dynamo FC II to win✗
40%
2.48
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Houston Dynamo FC II / FT Houston Dynamo FC II✗
What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
On our numbers Tacoma Defiance have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Houston Dynamo FC II 40%.
How many goals will there be in Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
Our predicted score is Tacoma Defiance 1–1 Houston Dynamo FC II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Starfire Sports.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
