Value bet: St. Louis City II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Louis City II to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Los Angeles FC II vs St. Louis City II preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees Los Angeles FC II take on St. Louis City II on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Titan Stadium. Los Angeles FC II are 6th with 45 points from 28 games (in the top half), while St. Louis City II sit 7th on 44 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Los Angeles FC II's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Ventura County 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
St. Louis City II's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Austin II 1–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
St. Louis City II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.5 for Los Angeles FC II and 2.4 for St. Louis City II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Los Angeles FC II 24%, draw 16%, St. Louis City II 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Value angle: St. Louis City II to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Los Angeles FC II 1–2 St. Louis City II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Los Angeles FC II24%fair 4.08 · @3.10
Draw16%fair 6.21 · @3.40
St. Louis City II59%fair 1.68 · @1.95
3.95Expected goals
1.51Los Angeles FC II xG
2.44St. Louis City II xG
69%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–17%
1–37%
2–27%
0–26%
2–15%
From our goals model: Los Angeles FC II 1.5 – 2.4 St. Louis City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Louis City II to win✗
59%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
St. Louis City II ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Louis City II / FT St. Louis City II✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.56
–
Form
Los Angeles FC II – last 6
WWLLWL
17 May
vs Ventura County
3–2
W
4 May
vs Vancouver Whitecaps II
2–1
W
27 Apr
@ Tacoma Defiance
1–4
L
16 Apr
vs Portland Timbers II
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps II
3–2
W
9 Mar
@ The Town
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
St. Louis City II – last 4
LWWW
18 May
@ Austin II
1–4
L
18 Apr
@ Tacoma Defiance
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Ventura County
3–2
W
28 Feb
vs Sporting KC II
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Los Angeles FC II and St. Louis City II.
What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC II vs St. Louis City II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Los Angeles FC II vs St. Louis City II?
On our numbers Los Angeles FC II have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 16% and St. Louis City II 59%.
How many goals will there be in Los Angeles FC II vs St. Louis City II?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC II vs St. Louis City II?
Our predicted score is Los Angeles FC II 1–2 St. Louis City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Los Angeles FC II vs St. Louis City II?
Los Angeles FC II vs St. Louis City II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Titan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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