Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Austin II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAustin II to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance preview and prediction
The match
Austin II host Tacoma Defiance in the MLS Next Pro on Monday 11 May, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Parmer Filed. Austin II are 1st with 65 points from 28 games (top of the table), while Tacoma Defiance sit 9th on 41 points (in the top half). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Austin II's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat North Texas 2–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tacoma Defiance's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Los Angeles FC II 4–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Austin II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.6.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 March 2026, finished Tacoma Defiance 0–1 Austin II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Austin II and 1.1 for Tacoma Defiance. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Austin II 59%, draw 17%, Tacoma Defiance 24%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Austin II to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Austin II 2–1 Tacoma Defiance. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Austin II59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @3.40
Tacoma Defiance24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
2.97Expected goals
1.89Austin II xG
1.08Tacoma Defiance xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Austin II 1.9 – 1.1 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our pick is Austin II to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance?
On our numbers Austin II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tacoma Defiance 24%.
How many goals will there be in Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our predicted score is Austin II 2–1 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance?
Austin II vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Parmer Filed.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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