New England II vs New York City II prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
New England II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: New England II to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew England II to win62% · @1.83
Double chanceNew England II or draw85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.86
New England II vs New York City II preview and prediction
The match
New York City II travel to Gillette Stadium in the MLS Next Pro on Sunday 10 May (19:00 WAT) to face New England II. New England II are 5th with 48 points from 28 games (in the top half), while New York City II sit 6th on 47 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
New York City II's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Chicago Fire II 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for New England II and 0.7 for New York City II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New England II 62%, draw 23%, New York City II 15%.
Safer route: New England II or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.50.
Value angle: New England II to win at 1.83 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was New England II or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: New England II 1–0 New York City II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New England II62%fair 1.60 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.40
New York City II15%fair 6.85 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.78New England II xG
0.72New York City II xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: New England II 1.8 – 0.7 New York City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New England II to win
62%
1.60
1.83 ▲
Double chance
New England II or draw
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
New England II ahead at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New England II / FT New England II
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.86
–
Form
New England II – last 2
LW
13 Apr
vs New York RB II
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs FC Cincinnati II
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
New York City II – last 4
WLLL
6 May
vs Chicago Fire II
2–1
W
25 Apr
@ Toronto II
1–2
L
13 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati II
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Toronto II
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New England II and New York City II.
What is the prediction for New England II vs New York City II?
Our pick is New England II or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win New England II vs New York City II?
On our numbers New England II have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and New York City II 15%.
How many goals will there be in New England II vs New York City II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New England II vs New York City II?
Our predicted score is New England II 1–0 New York City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is New England II vs New York City II?
New England II vs New York City II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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