Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Real Monarchs or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Monarchs to win56% · @1.85
Double chanceReal Monarchs or draw79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.23
Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees Real Monarchs take on Portland Timbers II on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Zions Bank Stadium. Real Monarchs are 11th with 33 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Portland Timbers II sit 2nd on 57 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Real Monarchs and 1.2 for Portland Timbers II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Monarchs 56%, draw 22%, Portland Timbers II 21%.
Safer route: Real Monarchs or draw (79%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Monarchs or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Monarchs 2–1 Portland Timbers II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Monarchs56%fair 1.77 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.60
Portland Timbers II21%fair 4.70 · @3.10
3.25Expected goals
2.05Real Monarchs xG
1.20Portland Timbers II xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Real Monarchs 2.1 – 1.2 Portland Timbers II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Monarchs to win
56%
1.77
1.85
Double chance
Real Monarchs or draw
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Real Monarchs ahead at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Monarchs / FT Real Monarchs
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.23
–
Form
Real Monarchs – last 2
LW
13 Apr
@ Ventura County
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Sporting KC II
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Portland Timbers II – last 2
WL
16 Apr
@ Los Angeles FC II
1–0
W
16 Mar
@ Houston Dynamo FC II
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Monarchs and Portland Timbers II.
What is the prediction for Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II?
Our pick is Real Monarchs or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II?
On our numbers Real Monarchs have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Portland Timbers II 21%.
How many goals will there be in Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II?
Our predicted score is Real Monarchs 2–1 Portland Timbers II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II?
Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Zions Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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