Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Real Monarchs to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
O3.5
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Monarchs to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.61
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.64
Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs preview and prediction
The match
The MLS Next Pro sees Sporting KC II take on Real Monarchs on Monday 9 March, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Rock Chalk Park. Sporting KC II are 13th with 23 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Real Monarchs sit 11th on 33 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 1.8 for Sporting KC II and 2.7 for Real Monarchs. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting KC II 24%, draw 17%, Real Monarchs 59%.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 2.05 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Monarchs to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sporting KC II 1–2 Real Monarchs. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting KC II24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Draw17%fair 5.88 · @3.80
Real Monarchs59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
4.50Expected goals
1.77Sporting KC II xG
2.73Real Monarchs xG
62%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
2–15%
From our goals model: Sporting KC II 1.8 – 2.7 Real Monarchs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Monarchs to win✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
2.05 ▲
Half-time result
Real Monarchs ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Monarchs / FT Real Monarchs✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.64
–
Form
Sporting KC II – last 1
L
28 Feb
@ St. Louis City II
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Real Monarchs
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting KC II and Real Monarchs.
What is the prediction for Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs?
Our pick is Real Monarchs to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs?
On our numbers Sporting KC II have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Real Monarchs 59%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs?
Our predicted score is Sporting KC II 1–2 Real Monarchs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs?
Sporting KC II vs Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Rock Chalk Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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