Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Chernomorets to win @ 3.12 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChernomorets to win ✗38% · @3.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.08
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.36
Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva preview and prediction
The match
Torpedo Moskva travel to Centralnyy in the First League on Sunday 1 March (13:30 WAT) to face Chernomorets.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Chernomorets and 1.1 for Torpedo Moskva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chernomorets 38%, draw 26%, Torpedo Moskva 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.08.
Value angle: Chernomorets to win at 3.12 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Chernomorets 1–1 Torpedo Moskva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chernomorets38%fair 2.66 · @3.12
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.97
Torpedo Moskva37%fair 2.72 · @2.38
2.25Expected goals
1.13Chernomorets xG
1.12Torpedo Moskva xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Chernomorets 1.1 – 1.1 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chernomorets to win✗
38%
2.66
3.12 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.08 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chernomorets / FT Chernomorets✗
20%
4.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.36
–
Form
Chernomorets
No recent results on record.
Torpedo Moskva
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chernomorets and Torpedo Moskva.
What is the prediction for Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers Chernomorets have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Torpedo Moskva 37%.
How many goals will there be in Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our predicted score is Chernomorets 1–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva?
Chernomorets vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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